This category of the form tab is very important if you want to evaluate in detail the shape of the teams.

Goal Propension

The "Propensity to Goal" tab allows you to evaluate the possibility that a team scores within a specific match.

This card generates two graphs with three histograms. The first chart for the team that plays at home, and the second for the team that plays away.

In the following example we selected the match "Freiburg vs Bayern München":

By default the program evaluates the last six games played by the two teams.

To calculate the propensity to the goal the program evaluates for each match the number of goals scored by the team, dividing the result by an average of three goals per game.

It is possible to notice from the histograms that the "Bayern München" has a better attack than the Freiburg, and therefore a greater probability of going in goal.

You can configure the filter by changing the number of evaluated matches:

Select the number of games to be evaluated and the related competition. Finally click on apply and the program will download and process the new data with the new configuration.

These graphs are very useful for understanding the state of attack of the teams.

Mental Pressure

This card allows you to calculate the mental state of the teams.

Basically mental pressure allows you to evaluate the psychological state of each team. This factor is not otherwise calculable in a mathematical distribution. This card is considered a very important feature, because potentially a prediction that favors a team can be influenced by the mental state, and consequently you could analyze the match in a different light.

Consider the "Freiburg vs Bayern München" match:

By default, the program will evaluate the last six games played by the teams.

In the central part are displayed the basic information of the last six games, in particular:

  • Last points for matches.
  • Wins.
  • Draws.
  • Defeats.
  • Goal Scored.
  • Goal Againts.
  • Mental pressure.

On the left and right side of the card, mental pressure is displayed instead. The value is indicated as a tachometer.

The software calculates the mental pressure of each team by evaluating the number of matches chosen in the filter, in particular taking into consideration the number of wins, draws and losses.

Gets for each match the number of goals scored, suffered and points scored.

At this point, based on the number of matches to be evaluated calculates how many points should have won the team (if he had won all the games).

For each match it subtracts the number of points obtained by the team from the total of points that can be won.

At the end of the match evaluation, the mental pressure is divided by the total number of points that can be won.

Basically a high mental pressure indicates a team that is going through a negative period.

On the contrary, low mental pressure indicates a team that comes from a positive period.

Use this form to influence the choice of the prediction made by the distribution.

However, you can configure the card to evaluate the mental pressure of other competitions in which the team participates:

We had mentioned in the welcome section that it is not possible to foresee the future. In particular it is not possible to predict if the coach makes a massive turnover, but with this card you can get the mental pressure value for each competition for which the team participates, thus you can know if the team has the same performance in all competitions.

Avg Points

The "Average Points" tab allows you to calculate the average points scored by the two selected teams.

Take the "Troyes vs PSG" match as an example:

As you can see from the image the program has generated three histograms per team. To calculate the average points, SoccerForecast takes into account the matches chosen in the filter (by default there are six), and calculate the maximum number of points potentially conquerable (if the team had won all the games).

At this point for each match the points actually obtained are stored, these are divided by the number of points that the team could have won.

Suppose then that in the last 6 games of "Ligue 1" played at home the PSG team has always won.

The software will calculate that for the 6 games played there are 18 points conquerable, then divide the points really conquered with those that should have conquered.

So the formula will be as follows: 18/18 = 1.

The average points in the PSG is therefore 3 points per game, because in the last 6 games evaluated, the PSG has always won.

If you need to evaluate the average points of other competitions, or to evaluate more matches, then you can use the filter available to configure the card:

As always, once the filter is configured click on "Apply" to apply the new values.

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